Defunding Police Linked to Rising Crime: Fact Check

Submitted by MAGA

Posted 14 days ago

USA Today columnist Daniel Funke has attempted to cast doubt on the obvious link between the "defund the police" movement and rising crime.

In an incredible attempt to question reality itself, Funke framed his ignorance as a fact check of conservatives pointing out that all of the most dangerous cities in America are run by Democrats. Funke acknowledged that the U.S. recorded its highest increase in the national homicide rate in modern history between 2019 and 2020, and that 12 cities did break their annual homicide records in 2021. However, he glossed over the fact that those 12 cities have Democrat mayors.

Funke's "fact check" is specific to police defunding, but there are cities that didn't defund the police but had their police departments crippled by so-called "progressive prosecutors," which was another major factor in the national crime wave we're experiencing. Many refer to these prosecutors as the "George Soros DAs" for their tendency to have taken large sums of cash from the far-left billionaire.

Further destroying what was left of his credibility, Funke also called into question whether police help that much at all in reducing crime. He quoted one criminologist at the University of California-Irvine who told him that she's not aware of any data that illustrates the effect of reducing the police on homicide rates, and that older research suggests there isn't a definitive conclusion.

However, the fact that police reduce crime is just about the most replicated finding in the field of criminology. In a 2005 paper, Jonathan Glick and Alex Tabarrok found a clever instrument to measure the effects of officer increases through the terrorism "alert levels" that were a feature of the early to mid-aughts. During high-alert periods, the Washington, DC, police force would mobilize extra officers, especially in and around the capital's core, centered on the National Mall. Using daily crime data, they found that the level of crime decreased significantly on high-alert days, and the decrease was especially concentrated on the National Mall.

Stephen Mello of Princeton University assessed the Obama-era increase in federal police funding. Thanks to the stimulus bill, funding for Clinton’s Community Oriented Policing Services (COPS) hiring grant program surged from about $20 million a year in the late-Bush era to $1 billion in 2009. The program design allowed Mello to assess some quasi-random variation in which cities got grants. The data shows that compared to cities that missed out, those that made the cut ended up with police staffing levels that were 3.2 percent higher and crime levels that were 3.5 percent lower. This is an important finding because not only does it show that more police officers leads to less crime, but that actual American cities are not currently policed at a level where there are diminishing returns.

A larger historical survey by Aaron Chalfin and Justin McCrary looked at a large set of police and crime data for midsize to large cities from 1960 to 2010 and concluded that every $1 spent on extra policing generates about $1.63 in social benefits, primarily through fewer murders.

Contrary to the sort-of "police state" rhetoric the left will often deploy, even before the "defund the police" trend, the U.S. employed 35% fewer police per-capita than the world average. In 2018 the U.S. employed 238 cops per 100,000 people, while France employed 429 per 100k, Italy 456 per 100k, Russia 515 per 100k, and Germany 388 per 100k.

We could use a heck of a lot more police – because they reduce crime.


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